Analysis of reasons for the decline in cotton planting area in 2015

Cotton is an important part of the national economy and people’s livelihood. Since the beginning of this year, the situation in the cotton market has been unsteady. Various problems have come one after another. In particular, the area of ​​cotton has fallen. So why did the area of ​​cotton fall?

It is often said that “the rain is good and rainy season”, the excessive rain in Hubei at the moment is really annoying, and it brings some trouble to the growth of local crops, including cotton. According to an agricultural person from Hubei, this year's Hubei region is particularly rich in rain, which has an adverse effect on the growth and development of cotton. Because cotton, as a dryland crop, requires less replenishment of water during the growing season of cotton, if there is too much rain, it will not only induce Cotton blight, but also will cause the accumulated temperature is too low, affecting cotton growth and development.

The person in charge of a cotton enterprise in Zhongxiang, Hubei Province, said that this year Zhongxiang experienced precipitation almost every week, and the rainfall was significantly higher than last year. At present, local cotton is all transplanted to Daejeon. This is a time when cotton seedlings are concentrated and budding. However, it is rare nowadays. Excessive rainy weather delayed the growth and development of cotton. For the moment, the growth of cotton seedlings is not ideal. Due to the poor market conditions in this year's cotton market, cotton farmers are not willing to spend more time and material costs in planting and managing the development of cotton seedlings, and they will also image cotton growth to some extent.

According to the person in charge of the department, in previous years, the main cotton producing area in Zhongxiang was able to see a large area of ​​contiguous cotton fields. Now it is a sparsely populated scene. Since 2014, the cotton planting area has dropped significantly.

The cotton plantation intention survey conducted by the National Cotton Market Monitoring System in March showed that the cotton planting intention area in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River was 8.376 million mu in 2015, a year-on-year decrease of 33.8%, of which Hubei province, a major producing cotton province, dropped by 35.7% year-on-year. Quite large. Mainly due to the following reasons:

1, poor cotton market, seed cotton purchase price is low. It is understood that Zhongxiang's local seed cotton purchase price is 2.2-2.6 yuan/kg (Tonghua). Even so, it is priceless and no local company is willing to purchase and process because local processing price of 3128 lint has dropped to 13,000 yuan/ton. the following.

2. Impact of land transfer policy. In November 2014, the General Office of the State Council issued the Opinions on Guiding the Orderly Transfer of Rural Land Ownership to the Development of a Moderately Scaled Agricultural Business, and required all localities and departments to implement the plan in accordance with actual conditions. Take Zhongxiang in Hubei Province as an example. The cost of local land contracting has already risen to 1,000 yuan/mu. Many farmers feel that they have to make so much land for so much income. Therefore, the active transfer of land, especially some land resources, is favored by contractors. However, the contractors did not benefit from the current cultivation of cotton, so they changed crops such as corn and other economic crops, which also reduced the cotton planting area to some extent.

3, cotton planting costs high and poor returns.

According to experts from Hubei Agriculture Department, in 2014, the average cost of planting cotton in Hubei Province was 464.28 yuan, and the labor cost was 1,102.26 yuan, a total of 1,476.54 yuan. According to the average purchase price of 2.8 yuan/kg at that time and 450 mu per mu of seed cotton, the average income per mu is 1,260 yuan. Even if the subsidy is more than 100 yuan per mu, it will not be able to bear. In 2015, the physical and labor costs of planting cotton all rose to varying degrees, and the cost of planting cotton was only high.

In addition to Hubei, the area of ​​cotton in other regions has also declined. The phenomenon in Hubei is just a microcosm of the development of the cotton industry in the Mainland. Where will the Mainland cotton go in the future?